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其实我对股市是长线看涨的.

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发表于 22-12-2008 08:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
Zimbabwe awash in worthless currency
http://www.denverpost.com/ci_11279766?source=rss

zimbabwe总是不负众望的再创金融历史记录.

The pale blue bank note that says 1,000,000 Zimbabwean dollars really means 10,000,000,000,000,000,000.

Yes, that's 10 quintillion, taking into account the 13 zeros Zimbabwe's central bank has lopped off in the past couple of years to make the currency somewhat more manageable.



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 楼主| 发表于 6-11-2008 08:53 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
我和其余人不同,其余人很喜欢说,600点,400点,200点.
实际上,虽然我也认为这可能发生,但是长线来说,我认为世界各地的指数都会比现在最少高10倍.
为什么?
因为世界各地政府都非常喜欢印钞票救市,不只如此,人民也非常拥护政府印钞票救市.

我就不信,如果美国和世界各地发生下面这个事情,AIG只会值2美元.
转贴一个新闻.

If you think that the current economic crisis is something that hasnever happened in history before, you may be wrong! After the collapseof the agriculture sector in Zimbabwe in 2000, the inflation in that country skyrocketed to 231 million percent a year! Just think about it - 231 000 000%! Unemployment went up to 80% and a third of country’s population left it.
Let`s now have a look at the photos that you may not be able to see anywhere else in the world.
Here is a boy getting change in 200 000 dollar notes!

One 200 000 dollar note equals less than $0.10 cents.

December 22nd, a new note of 500 000 dollars introduced to the market!

Next - 750 000 dollars.

January - new note of 10 million dollars.


This US $10 dollar note is 10 times worth more than the 10 million dollars Zimbabwe note.


A case worth 65 billion Zimbabwe dollars which equals to $2000 US dollars.

This guy is going to a supermarket. The exchange rate is 25 million Zimbabwe dollars for 1 US dollar.

This mountain of cash is worth $100.

50 Million note is then introduced!

Next is 250 million dollars note!

Sorry, how much is this t-shirt?
- It`s cheap, only about 3 billion dollars!

May - a note of 500 million dollars is introduced!

June - note worth 25 and 50 billion are printed.

And finally - 100 billion dollars note!

What can you buy for it? Well, these 3 eggs for example.

Thats how people went to restaurants!

And the bills:


In August, the government devalued Zimbabwe dollar by removing 10 zeros from notes.

However, inflation kept going up and in September for this amount of cash you could only buy 4 tomatoes.

And for this - some bread.

And then it started again: 20 000 dollars note in September.

50 000 a couple of weeks ago!

They`ve got a pretty good chance of hitting billion dollar notes again by the end of this year!
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发表于 6-11-2008 09:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
看到眼睛都花了。。。
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发表于 6-11-2008 09:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
所以,记得为自己的现金保值.股市崩盘的时候,持有现金不一定是最好的,持有有素质又会增值的资产才是上上策.
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发表于 6-11-2008 09:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
好样的,去那里找到这些照片的??
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发表于 6-11-2008 10:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
好多钱啊,,, ,,

可是大马不会,,,
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发表于 6-11-2008 11:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
真的好多钱!!
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发表于 6-11-2008 11:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
可恶,我以为烧给先人的冥币面值最大了人间竟然还有更大的。

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发表于 6-11-2008 11:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
在这种情况底下要怎么过活。。。?
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发表于 6-11-2008 11:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
可以拿来煮饭
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发表于 7-11-2008 12:17 AM | 显示全部楼层

回复 9# 密码侦探 的帖子

我记得大萧条时,德国好像印过一些500亿的钞票。
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q
发表于 7-11-2008 12:31 AM | 显示全部楼层
纸张的本钱还大过钞票面值
可以去jimbawee回收纸张
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发表于 7-11-2008 12:52 AM | 显示全部楼层
还有以前日本的香蕉钱!
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发表于 8-11-2008 06:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
很好的分享~
白人当年用非法的手段殖民Zimbabwe,并占有Zimbabwe肥沃土地的70%,
现在Zimbabwe黑人政府要所有白人放弃土地权并离开Zimbabwe,要不然可能使用武力驱逐所有白人,
美英等欧洲国家因为这件事,完全断绝了对Zimbabwe所有的援助,

不知道Zimbabwe有没有欠国债?
会不会Zimbabwe政府是故意让Zimbabwe Dollars来一场超级大贬值来逃避天文数字的外债?
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发表于 8-11-2008 06:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
有谁要跟我去Zimbabwe当亿万富翁??
让我们这些穷小子过过瘾都几爽!!
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发表于 9-11-2008 09:55 AM | 显示全部楼层
Hi,  Kawan Cari,

出席下一届的 "怡保全羊宴"  KAWAN CARI, 每个都成为亿万富豪。

有谁肯乐捐  "亿万富豪" 吗 ?

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发表于 9-11-2008 04:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
如果采取物物交换--自给自足-选择性与外界暂时脱钩[反正也面对列强经济制裁了]-基本需要来源寻找印度-中国等廉宜供应并与其签署双边贸易协议-避开主要国际货币的牵制单方面与中国-印度取得货币挂钩[当然本身也许要付出让对方有利可图的代价-比如矿产-原产品需求共给]。。。只是有这样的比较肤浅想法的说--但重点是国家依旧不会倒下--除非真的是荒凉什么都没有。。。人民迁移去能生存的地方吧。。。


亿万白痴老喜欢笑那些货币贬值激烈不值钱到处都是亿万的人--白痴就是白痴。。。亿万白痴就白痴般看低取笑经济穷困的国家人民--白痴到可耻加狗眼的说
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 楼主| 发表于 1-12-2008 10:15 AM | 显示全部楼层
Zimbabwe中央银行近来评论:

As Monetary Authorities, we have been humbled and have taken heart in the realization that some leading Central Banks, including those in the USA and the UK, are now not just talking of, but also actually implementing flexible and pragmatic central bank support programmes where these are deemed necessary in their National interests.

That is precisely the path that we began over 4 years ago in pursuit of our own national interest and we have not wavered on that critical path despite the untold misunderstanding, vilification and demonization we have endured from across the political divide.

Yet there are telling examples of the path we have...For instance, when the USA economy was recently confronted by the devastating effects of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, as well as the Iraq war, their Central Bank stepped in and injected life-boat schemes in the form of billions of dollars that were printed and pumped into the American economy.

另外一段:
....the USA economy confronted a severe mortgage crisis... The USA Central Bank again responded by injecting over US$160 billion between December, 2007 and March, 2008.... leading central banks in the global economy are bailing out troubled economic sectors to achieve macroeconomic and financial stability....the Bank of England... providing a £50 billion lifeline to the UK’s banking sector.

Here in Zimbabwe we had our near-bank failures a few years ago and we responded by providing the affected Banks with the Troubled Bank Fund (TBF) for which we were heavily criticized even by some multi-lateral institutions who today are silent when the Central Banks of UK and USA are going the same way and doing the same thing under very similar circumstances thereby continuing the unfortunate hypocrisy that what’s good for goose is not good for the gander....

As Monetary Authorities, we commend those of our peers, the world over, who have now seen the light on the need for the adoption of flexible and practical interventions and support to key sectors of the economy when faced with unusual circumstances.
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发表于 1-12-2008 03:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢分享。
其实股票长期来看一定是升的。
这就是为何各国股票都是屡创新高,除了日本。
我依然相信道指最低跌到7000点,如果真的再跌也是6000以上。

所以我依然AIG, Fannie, LVS, Citi很有信心。股票是屡创新高的.
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发表于 1-12-2008 03:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
股市雖說長期看漲,但是可以漲多少,又有多少人真的認真推斷過?

就拿美國來說,美國股市回報沒有想像中那麼高!
美國股市100年來,平均回報率才7%。

即使1970年代起到2000年的黃金30年間,回報率大概9%-10%,
同期香港的11%-12%,台灣也差不多是這個數。

買美股需要搞清楚是買整個大市還是買個股。
整個大市的話,很抱歉,美國,香港,台灣已經無法重覆過去30年的成長紀錄了!
認為美國股市回報高,那是不切實際的妄想...

個股的話,就看自己有沒有本事選對股票了!
股神巴菲特買前都需要看財務數字!
如果對財務數字連看都沒看清楚就買,
偶而賺到還可以,可以長期賺才奇怪......

巴菲特都沒那麼“神”到不需要看財務數字......



【黑@證券說】http://ckfstock.blogspot.com
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