大選後，期指會大震盪嗎？

諾基亞

Malaysia's polls shock rattles investors, stocks seen falling Monday
    PENANG, Malaysia (Thomson Financial) - Weekend elections that have reshaped
Malaysia's political landscape will reverberate in the stock market and could
dampen investor confidence, economists said Sunday.
    Massive defections by the small but economically dominant Chinese community
and once loyalist minority Indians have highlighted resentment towards the
Malay-led government's economic policies, they said.
    The Barisan Nasional coalition, led by Prime Minister Abdullah Ahmad Badawi's
United Malays National Organisation (UMNO) failed to win a two-thirds majority in
parliament for the first time in four decades.
    It also lost control of four states, including the technology hub of Penang,
to a resurgent opposition in Saturday's polls.
    Analysts said that although the government also suffered a rejection from the
Muslim Malays who form its bedrock, investors may be concerned that the results
could trigger political and racial instability.
    "Fund managers will be concerned with the racial divide," Chua Hak Bin, a
Singapore-based economist with Citigroup.
    "With the Chinese and Indians voting for the opposition, you raise the
question if Malaysia's fundamentals are intact and whether there will be racial
violence even though the Malays also voted for the opposition," he said.
    Malaysia's minorities are concerned over rising "Islamisation" and angry over
the government's refusal to abandon positive discrimination policies that give
Malays advantages in education, housing and business.
    Chua said the "shocking" election results could keep investors at bay for the
next three months.
    "The polls' outcome has rattled investors. There will be doubts raised
whether the development projects under the previous state governments will
continue. The political shake-up could affect projects and companies," he said.
    In the run-up to the elections, the Barisan Nasional launched a series of
big-spending economic development plans touted as bringing tens of billions of
dollars in investment and infrastructure to Malaysia's regions.
    Chua said the fall of Penang, Malaysia's "Silicon Valley" which is home to
many high-tech firms and the only state dominated by ethnic Chinese, could affect
equity prices.
    "It could also have an impact on billion-dollar projects in Penang, including
the second bridge crossing," he said.
    Wan Suhaimi Saidie, economist with Kenanga Investment Bank, said there could
be a drop in share prices when the bourse opens on Monday.
    "Some investors may shift their position when trading opens on Monday while
others may take to the sidelines. But I think it will just be temporary," he said.

    Wan Suhaimi said that with a strong new opposition, the government could
hopefully fine-tune its investment policies to woo overseas funds.
    But Chua said that Malaysia's long-term political prospects were in the
balance, amid uncertainty over the future of Abdullah who is facing calls to
resign.
    "The election speaks for itself. It shows there is no confidence in his
leadership. I will not be surprised if he steps aside," he said.
    "They (investors) will not come in aggressively and we will see the Malaysian
bourse remain marginalised vis-a-vis other regional bourses."
    Kaladher Govindan, head of research at TA Securities, tipped the bourse to
fall Monday and said that in the short term it would suffer from fears over
looming instability.
    "My gut feeling is it will fall sharply. It is due to concerns of political
uncertainties and whether there will be unrest. But it will not crash," he said.

諾基亞

從網路上找來的。。。看來明天的走勢有大波動啊

諾基亞

真的一開市大跌....期指最低1163, 最高1209.5, 現在早上有點十六分是1193....

xiaoyuer82

原帖由 諾基亞 于 10-3-2008 09:16 AM 发表
真的一開市大跌....期指最低1163, 最高1209.5, 現在早上有點十六分是1193....

这几天都是会跌跌然后起一点点的。。

諾基亞

對...都是跌多多,起少少
搞到現在中SUSPENSE