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到底多少人在外汇市场里赚钱?

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 楼主| 发表于 16-9-2009 04:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
有点难一个个去PM...
公开大家看看吧~
Expert Advice Posted: Tue Sep 15, 2009 11:55 pm
EUR/USD
Euro's retreat after rising to fresh 2009 high of 1.4654 yesterday suggests consolidation below there may take place and minor correction to support at 1.4515 is likely. However, renewed buying interest may emerge around 1.4477 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.4191 to 1.4654) and support at 1.4448 (previous resistance now support) should hold, bringing another rally. Above said resistance may extend towards 1.4688 (50% projection of 1.2457-1.4339 measuring from 1.3747). However, upside should be limited to 1.4738/40 (approx. 50% projection of 1.4191 to 1.4636 measuring from 1.4515) and 1.4763 (1.618 times projection of 1.4045 to 1.4407 measuring from 1.4177) should hold, bringing retreat later.

Look to buy euro on dips, adventurous can venture short on such rise to 1.4738/40. Below 1.4448 (previous resistance turned support) would risk correction to 1.4407 (another previous resistance) but reckon 1.4360/65 should limit downside.

STRATEGY: Buy at 1.4480, Target: 1.4660, Stop: 1.4420 O.C.O. Sell at 1.4740, Target: 1.4580, Stop: 1.4800


GBP/USD
The British pound ran in to heavy offers after intra-day recovery to 1.6661 and has retreated sharply on active cross-selling in sterling versus euro together with the release of better-than-expected U.S. data. Correction of recent upmove to 1.6428 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6113 to 1.6742) is likely. However, only below 1.6400 would risk stronger retracement towards 1.6351.

In view of this, exit long position entered at 1.6460 and stand aside in the meantime. On the upside, recovery is likely to be limited to 1.6522 (previous support turned resistance) and 1.6588 should hold and bring another decline later.

STRATEGY: Exit long entered at 1.6460 and stand aside


USD/CHF
Dollar’s rebound after intra-day fall to fresh 2009 low of 1.0322 suggests further consolidation above this level may take place and correction to 1.0466 is likely. However, renewed selling interest may emerge well below resistance at 1.0529 (previous support turned resistance) and bring another decline. Below said support may extend marginally to 1.0265/68 (1.236 times projection of 1.0885 to 1.0529 measuring from 1.0708). However, 1.0245 (50% projection of 1.0700 to 1.0339 measuring from 1.0425) may attract buying interest and bring rebound later.

In view of the above analysis, whilst still looking to sell dollar on recovery, the more adventurous may venture buying on such decline to 1.0245 as 1.0202 (61.8% projection) should hold, bringing another correction. Above resistance at 1.0555 (previous support turned resistance) would signal a temporary is formed and risk correction towards 1.0590/00.

STRATEGY: Sell at 1.0500, Target: 1.0300, Stop: 1.0560 O.C.O Buy at 1.0245, Target: 1.0440, Stop: 1.0180


USD/JPY
Dollar’s rebound after falling to 90.18 earlier suggests further consolidation may take place and mild upside bias remains for correction of recent decline towards 92.11 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 93.31 to 90.18). However, sharp rise beyond resistance at 92.60 is unlikely and the greenback should falter below 93.02.

In view of this, prefer to buy dollar on dips for such a rebound. Only below psychological support at 90.00 would risk one more fall towards 89.44-50 (approx. 1.236 times projection of 95.07 to 91.94 measuring from 93.31) before prospect of another recovery.

STRATEGY: Buy at 90.60, Target: 92.10, Stop: 90.00
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 楼主| 发表于 16-9-2009 06:09 PM | 显示全部楼层

MARKET VIEWS - Wednesday, 16 August 2009

EUR/USD
As the single currency has risen after finding renewed buying at 1.4561, suggesting recent upmove remains in progress and gain towards 1.4738/40 (approx. 50% projection of 1.4191 to 1.4636 measuring from 1.4515) is likely. However, overbought condition may prevent sharp move beyond 1.4763 (1.618 times projection of 1.4045 to 1.4407 measuring from 1.4177) and could bring a correction later.

Whilst still looking to buy euro on dips, those adventurous can venture short on next upmove. Below support area at 1.4502-15 would suggest a temporary top is possibly formed and risk correction towards 1.4448 (previous resistance turned support).

STRATEGY: Buy at 1.4550, Target: 1.4720, Stop: 1.4490 O.C.O. Sell at 1.4750, Target: 1.4580, Stop: 1.4810


GBP/USD
Cable dropped sharply yesterday as indicated in previous update on renewed cross-selling in sterling especially versus euro, suggesting the rise from 1.6113 has ended at 1.6742 earlier and although cable has recovered from 1.6403 and as long as resistance at 1.6661 holds, mild downside bias is for correction of this upmove towards 1.6353 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6113 to 1.6742) but reckon support at 1.6322 should hold from here.

Turn short on recovery as only break of 1.6661 would signal the pullback from 1.6742 has ended and bring retest of this level.

STRATEGY: Sell at 1.6600, Target: 1.6410, Stop: 1.6665


USD/CHF
As dollar has fallen again after yesterday’s brief recovery to 1.0420, suggesting recent decline remains in progress and fall to 1.0265/68 (1.236 times projection of 1.0885 to 1.0529 measuring from 1.0708) is likely. However, 1.0230 (approx. 50% projection of 1.0700 to 1.0322 measuring from 1.0420) should limit downside and attract profit-taking, bringing rebound later.

Whilst still looking to sell dollar on recovery, traders may attempt buying on such decline to 1.0230 as 1.0186 (61.8% projection) should hold, bringing correction. Only above resistance at 1.0529 (previous support turned resistance) would signal a temporary is possibly formed and risk correction to 1.0555, then towards 1.0590/00.

STRATEGY: Sell at 1.0450, Target: 1.0280, Stop: 1.0510 O.C.O Buy at 1.0230, Target: 1.0420, Stop: 1.0170

USD/JPY
The greenback retreated sharply partly due to the comments from Japan Finance Minister Fujii that current FX moves are not rapid and the administraion is opposed to forex intervention if moves are gradual. He also stated that a strong yen has certain advantages on Japanese economy. This fall has dampened near term bullishness and a retest of recent low at 90.18 cannot be ruled out. Moves below this level may extend to psychological support at 90.00. However, reckon downside would be limited to 89.44-50 (approx. 1.236 times projection of 95.07 to 91.94 measuring from 93.31).

In view of this, exit long position entered at 90.60 and revert to range trading in the meantime as it is necessary to see a break of 91.65 resistance to revive our bullish bias for correction of recent decline to at 92.28 then 92.60.

STRATEGY: Exit long entered at 90.60
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 楼主| 发表于 17-9-2009 05:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
有没有人去试试看啊?
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 楼主| 发表于 17-9-2009 05:41 PM | 显示全部楼层

MARKET VIEWS - Thursday, 17 September 2009

EUR/USD
Although Euro has maintained a firm undertone and marginal gain from here is likely, overbought condition should prevent sharp move beyond 1.4790 (61.8% projection of 1.4191 to 1.4636 measuring from 1.4515) and bring a long overdue correction later. Below 1.4704 may bring retracement towards 1.4641. However, support at 1.4561 should remain intact and bring another rally later.

Hold on to counter-trend short position for such a retreat. Above 1.4800/10 would risk further rise to 1.4850/60 but reckon 1.4900 should cap upside

STRATEGY: Hold short entered at 1.4750, Target: 1.4600, Stop: 1.4810


GBP/USD
As Cable traded narrowly after falling to 1.6403, suggesting further consolidation may take place and whilst recovered to 1.6573 and if the view a top has been formed at 1.6742 is correct, upside should be capped at 1.6660/65 and bring another decline. Break of said support may bring a stronger correction of the rise from 1.6113 to 1.6353 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6113 to 1.6742) but reckon support at 1.6322 should hold from here.

Look to sell cable on recovery as only break of 1.6661 would signal the pullback from 1.6742 has ended and bring retest of this level.

STRATEGY: Sell at 1.6600, Target: 1.6410, Stop: 1.6665

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发表于 17-9-2009 05:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
昨天连续亏损3次,真的意象不到。。。

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 楼主| 发表于 18-9-2009 11:27 AM | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 土产马来人 于 17-9-2009 05:41 PM 发表
昨天连续亏损3次,真的意象不到。。。


亏哪一个Combination?
奇怪...我只放两个Combination的tips哦....你怎样输三次?
而且我EUR/USD那个有赢哦...
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